Tag: modeling

How to think about coronavirus modeling

By Kevin Roche The diagram below is designed to help think through how coronavirus epidemic models could be built.  In this diagram I am assuming that you pull 1000 people randomly from the US population and that you assume they…

Problems with creating and using models

By Kevin Roche The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation at the University of Washington has put together a variety of coronavirus data and projections, which have come to be widely relied upon by policymakers.   (IMHE Page)   I am not…