Category: Columns

What we learned this week

By Kevin Roche From a science or epidemiological perspective the primary learning this week, gleaned from a variety of studies, most of which have been summarized in other posts, is that, as suspected, the true number of people who are…

What comes next in the ongoing coronavirus saga?

By Kevin Roche Over the last few days, pressure has been mounting, from the public and certain leaders, to change the strategy on economic shutdowns.  It appears that our leaders, unfortunately, as usual, completely under-estimated the depth of the job…

How to think about coronavirus modeling

By Kevin Roche The diagram below is designed to help think through how coronavirus epidemic models could be built.  In this diagram I am assuming that you pull 1000 people randomly from the US population and that you assume they…

Yet more Coronavirus research

By Kevin Roche Research results are flowing in on coronavirus and a lot of it is critical information on transmissibility.  How the virus is transmitted, its hardiness in air or on surfaces, what “dose” is enough to cause infection; all…